Forex Forecast Polls


The Forex Forecast is a currency sentiment tool that highlights our selected experts' near and medium term mood and calculates trends according to Friday's 15:00 GMT price. The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.



Weekly Forecast

EUR/USD: Trump round two and what it means for EUR/USD

EUR/USD: Trump round two and what it means for EUR/USD Premium

A hawkish Federal Reserve and a dovish ECB put pressure on EUR/USD. US President-elect Donald Trump’s policies set to overshadow macroeconomic releases. EUR/USD set to pierce the year low at 1.0177 and test parity in the upcoming days.

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GBP/USD: Pound Sterling not out of the woods yet ahead of Trump 2.0

GBP/USD: Pound Sterling not out of the woods yet ahead of Trump 2.0 Premium

The Pound Sterling recovered from 14-month lows of 1.2100 versus the US Dollar. GBP/USD braces for Trump 2.0, UK labor data and global preliminary PMI reports. Technically, the pair looks vulnerable as the daily RSI remains bearish.

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Bitcoin: BTC rallies above $102,000 ahead of Trump’s inauguration

Bitcoin: BTC rallies above $102,000 ahead of Trump’s inauguration

BTC's price continues to trade in the green, trading above $102,000 at the time of writing on Friday after rallying more than 7% this week. Recent US macroeconomic data released this week supported the rise of risky assets like BTC. 

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All eyes on Trump's inauguration day

All eyes on Trump's inauguration day

Next week, all eyes will be on which executive orders Trump enacts once he enters the White House. Rumoured topics of up to 100 separate orders include everything from tariffs to immigration to regulation and more.

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AUD/USD: Interim top confirmed, 0.7000 at risk

AUD/USD: Interim top confirmed, 0.7000 at risk Premium

The AUD/USD pair kept falling in the last few days, reaching a fresh multi-week low of 0.7263 on Friday, to close the trading week a handful of pips above it. 

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Gold: Weaker US Dollar keeps buyers hungry for the precious metal

Gold: Weaker US Dollar keeps buyers hungry for the precious metal Premium

The corrective move in Gold remained well in place for yet another week, this time surpassing the $2,720 mark per troy ounce for the first time since mid-December, where an initial resistance zone appears to have emerged.

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WHAT IS THE FOREX FORECAST POLL?

The Forex Forecast Poll is a sentiment tool that highlights near- and medium-term price expectations from leading market experts.

  • Unique sentiment indicator with a 5-year history
  • For 10 currency pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCHF, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, GBPJPY, EURJPY, EURGBP)
  • Survey conducted every Friday and published at 15:00 GMT
  • Serves all time horizons: 1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter - includes an average price for each time horizon
  • Followed by traders, market commentators as well as academics

The #FXpoll is not to be taken as signal or as final target, but as an exchange rates heat map of where sentiment and expectations are going.

 

HOW TO READ THE GRAPHS?

Besides the table with all participants’ individual prediction, a graphic representation aggregates and visualizes the data: the Bullish/Bearish/Sideways line shows the percentage of our contributors on each of these outlook biases.

This graph is available for each time horizon (1 week, 1 month, 1 quarter). We also indicate the average price forecast as well as the average bias.

WHY SHOULD I USE IT?

Our unique Forex Forecast poll offers you:

  • A sentiment indicator which delivers actionable price levels, not merely “mood” or “positioning” indications. Traders can check if there is unanimity among the surveyed experts - if there is excessive speculator sentiment driving a market - or if there are divergences among them. When sentiment is not at extremes, traders get actionable price targets to trade upon. When there is deviation between actual market rate and value reflected in forecasted rate, there is usually an opportunity to enter the market.
  • No lag in the data: Contrary to other indicators, there is no delay.
  • Significant sentiment data, based on a representative sample of 25 to 50 leading trading advisors for 5 years. Do not follow a single guru but rather a balanced group of well chosen experts. The Forex Forecast Poll offers a condensed version of several expert's opinions. Only outlooks are considered that have been committed to publication and therefore have an influence on the market.
  • A tool for Contrarian thinking: People instinctively follow the impulses of the crowd. Sentiment indicators, in turn, lead to “contrarian” thinking. You can read sentiment extremes and avoid being one of the herd. Contrast own opinions and price outlook with a group of leading trading advisors and money managers.
  • A tool to build strategies upon prediction data: Find patterns data for instance if a trend is gaining or losing energy.
EUR/USD Forecast GBP/USD Forecast USD/JPY Forecast AUD/USD Forecast
USD/CAD Forecast GBP/JPY Forecast NZD/USD Forecast EUR/JPY Forecast