US DOLLAR INDEX Forecast and News


US Dollar has a fresh two-year high in the DXY in reach after Durable Goods revisions fired up the Greenback

The US Dollar off to a positive start on Monday after a rather sluggish start of the day. Upward revisions from the preliminary November Durable Goods release set the tone for a stronger Greenback. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has the two-year high in reach. 

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Latest US Dollar Index Analysis


Latest US Dollar Index Analysis

Editors' picks

EUR/USD struggles to hold above 1.0400 as mood sours

EUR/USD struggles to hold above 1.0400 as mood sours

EUR/USD stays on the back foot and trades near 1.0400 following the earlier recovery attempt. The holiday mood kicked in, keeping action limited across the FX board, while a cautious risk mood helped the US Dollar hold its ground and forced the pair to stretch lower. 

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD set to swoon on holiday-shortened week

GBP/USD set to swoon on holiday-shortened week

GBP/USD waffled near the 1.2550 level on Monday, kicking off the holiday trading week with a third of a percent decline as market sentiment coils. Market volumes are set to drain out of global exchanges as investors broadly hang up their hats for the Christmas holiday, and global markets will be shuttered on Wednesday.

GBP/USD News
Japanese Yen retains intraday negative bias amid doubts over BoJ's rate-hike plan

Japanese Yen retains intraday negative bias amid doubts over BoJ's rate-hike plan

The Japanese Yen struggles to capitalize on Friday’s modest recovery gains against the US Dollar. Doubts over BoJ’s rate hike plan and elevated US bond yields weigh on the lower-yielding JPY. Traders now look to the US Consumer Confidence Index for short-term impetus later this Monday. 

USD/JPY News
Gold flat lines above $2,600 ahead of holiday trading week

Gold flat lines above $2,600 ahead of holiday trading week

Gold price trades flat around $2,610 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Markets face a relatively quiet trading session ahead of the holiday trading week. The US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for December is due later on Tuesday. 

Gold News
Crude Oil goes nowhere with trading volumes already at lower levels

Crude Oil goes nowhere with trading volumes already at lower levels

Oil prices are slipping lower by less than 0.50%, reversing after a positive Asian session earlier. Markets are roughly range trading in search of levels while final US data makes its way. The US Dollar Index has a fresh two-year high in reach after upbeat Durable Goods revisions.

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DOLLAR INDEX, USDX

The US Dollar Index (USDX) is an index (or measure) of the value of the United States dollar relative to a basket of foreign currencies. These currencies are the Euro (constituting 57.6% of the weighting), Japanese Yen (13.6%), British Pound (11.9%), Canadian Dollar (9.1%), Swedish Krona (4.2%) and Swiss Franc (3.6%). The index started in 1973 -with the absolution of Bretton Woods- with a base of 100.000, and values since then are relative to this base. For example, if the current reading says 99.800, this means that the dollar has fallen 0.2% since the start of the index (99.800 - 100.000).
Being the Dollar Index a geometrically weighted index and not a trade-weighted one, it is too concentrated in Europe and does not include two of the U.S. top four trading partners Mexico and China. It does not appear to be used by corporates or many asset managers, like mutual funds, insurance companies, and endowments. It is primarily a speculative vehicle. It's also important to acknowledge that a geometric mean artificially lowers the value of the USD over time.

ORGANIZATIONS, PEOPLE AND ECONOMIC DATA THAT INFLUENCE US DOLLAR INDEX

The US Dollar Index news can be seriously affected by the decisions taken by these organizations and people:

  • Fed, the Federal Reserve of the United States whose president is Jerome Powell. The Fed controls the monetary policy, through active duties such as managing interest rates, setting the reserve requirement, and acting as a lender of last resort to the banking sector during times of bank insolvency or financial crisis.
  • The US Government: events as administration statements, budget, new laws and regulations or fiscal policy can increase or decrease the value of the Dollar Index.
  • The US Treasury Dept that defines its role as “the steward of U.S. economic and financial systems, and as an influential participant in the world economy.”
  • US GDP (Gross Domestic Product), the total market value of all final goods and services produced in the United States of America. It is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the Dollar Index, while a low reading is negative.

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The US Dollar Index

When I write the Online Trading Academy Forex newsletter, I give my opinion about what I believe is happening to the currencies of the world based on the news I hear, the experts I follow, and my personal experiences of the economic cycles I have seen in the past. This fundamental information helps me understand what reports and indicators the economists of the world believe will shape future events.

A Look at the US Dollar Index

Over the last few months especially, there’s been a lot of focus in the world of Currency Trading upon the state of the US Dollar. No matter what your opinion is of the Greenback, it is still, without question, regarded as the world’s primary reserve currency and holds its weight of recognition across the board.